Country Risk Index

Live global risk rankings based on 55 active threat signals

Friday, February 6, 2026 - Updated continuously

5
Critical Risk
21
High Risk
8
Elevated Risk
2
Moderate Risk

Critical Risk

5 countries requiring immediate attention

United States

119
Risk Score
critical10% escalation
7 active signals347,107 sources
Civil UnrestFloodSevere Weather+4

United Kingdom

110
Risk Score
critical8% escalation
3 active signals82,739 sources
ConflictOtherChemical Spill

Switzerland

107
Risk Score
critical10% escalation
1 active signal144,695 sources
Other

Somalia

106
Risk Score
critical8% escalation
1 active signal70,297 sources
Other

Turkey

105
Risk Score
critical6% escalation
1 active signal96,389 sources
Other

High Risk

21 countries with significant activity

Japan

96
Risk Score
high35% escalation
2 active signals12,143 sources
Civil UnrestOther

Bangladesh

95
Risk Score
high32% escalation
2 active signals17,552 sources
OtherEarthquake

Spain

92
Risk Score
high22% escalation
3 active signals31,736 sources
OtherCyber AttackDisease Outbreak

India

89
Risk Score
high13% escalation
4 active signals173,342 sources
Port CongestionFloodConflict+1

Australia

85
Risk Score
high12% escalation
2 active signals19,789 sources
OtherWildfire

Russia

83
Risk Score
high8% escalation
2 active signals56,110 sources
OtherEarthquake

Myanmar

83
Risk Score
high12% escalation
1 active signal10,196 sources
Other

Sweden

83
Risk Score
high13% escalation
1 active signal17,297 sources
Other

Georgia

82
Risk Score
high10% escalation
1 active signal49,337 sources
Other

Greece

82
Risk Score
high10% escalation
1 active signal27,246 sources
Other

Brazil

81
Risk Score
high8% escalation
1 active signal41,187 sources
Other

Taiwan

81
Risk Score
high8% escalation
1 active signal35,902 sources
Other

Egypt

81
Risk Score
high8% escalation
1 active signal16,515 sources
Other

Mexico

81
Risk Score
high8% escalation
1 active signal29,379 sources
Other

Italy

81
Risk Score
high8% escalation
1 active signal22,075 sources
Other

Nigeria

81
Risk Score
high8% escalation
1 active signal9,583 sources
Other

Pakistan

81
Risk Score
high8% escalation
1 active signal6,715 sources
Other

Vietnam

80
Risk Score
high6% escalation
1 active signal21,063 sources
Other

Israel

80
Risk Score
high6% escalation
1 active signal15,610 sources
Other

Argentina

80
Risk Score
high6% escalation
1 active signal21,627 sources
Other

Romania

80
Risk Score
high7% escalation
1 active signal8,709 sources
Other

Elevated Risk

8 countries with notable incidents

Azerbaijan

67
2 signals27% esc

Philippines

64
1 signals25% esc

France

54
1 signals3% esc

Morocco

54
1 signals3% esc

Nepal

54
1 signals3% esc

Syria

54
1 signals3% esc

Kazakhstan

50
1 signals45% esc

Cuba

49
2 signals40% esc

Moderate Risk

2 countries with minor activity
Uganda1Singapore1

How We Calculate Country Risk

WorldNOC's Country Risk Index provides real-time risk assessments for countries worldwide based on active threat signals from our global monitoring network. Each country's risk score is calculated using:

  • Signal Severity - The highest severity level among active incidents (critical, high, medium, low)
  • Escalation Probability - AI-predicted likelihood of situation escalation in the next 72 hours
  • Escalation State - Current trajectory: Flashpoint, Escalating, Unstable, or Cooling
  • Signal Volume - Number of distinct incidents being tracked

Risk levels are categorized as Critical (score 100+), High (70-99), Elevated (40-69), and Moderate (below 40). Click any country for detailed analysis including specific incidents, affected sectors, and recommended actions.

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