Country Risk Index

Live global risk rankings based on 31 active threat signals

Wednesday, August 5, 2026 - Updated continuously

6
Critical Risk
11
High Risk
3
Elevated Risk
3
Moderate Risk

Critical Risk

6 countries requiring immediate attention

United States

124
Risk Score
critical33% escalation
4 active signals501,558 sources
OtherFloodSevere Weather+1

United Kingdom

122
Risk Score
critical33% escalation
3 active signals151,985 sources
OtherConflictChemical Spill

Somalia

118
Risk Score
critical33% escalation
1 active signal114,708 sources
Other

Switzerland

118
Risk Score
critical33% escalation
1 active signal240,349 sources
Other

Turkey

118
Risk Score
critical33% escalation
1 active signal181,540 sources
Other

Egypt

110
Risk Score
high42% escalationESCALATING
2 active signals29,276 sources
EarthquakeOther

High Risk

11 countries with significant activity

India

97
Risk Score
high33% escalation
3 active signals260,270 sources
Port CongestionOtherConflict

Vietnam

93
Risk Score
high33% escalation
1 active signal40,309 sources
Other

Georgia

93
Risk Score
high33% escalation
1 active signal94,560 sources
Other

Taiwan

93
Risk Score
high33% escalation
1 active signal71,414 sources
Other

Brazil

93
Risk Score
high33% escalation
1 active signal70,822 sources
Other

Spain

93
Risk Score
high33% escalation
1 active signal55,514 sources
Other

Greece

93
Risk Score
high33% escalation
1 active signal48,195 sources
Other

Mexico

93
Risk Score
high33% escalation
1 active signal58,218 sources
Other

Russia

93
Risk Score
high33% escalation
1 active signal96,460 sources
Other

Italy

93
Risk Score
high33% escalation
1 active signal51,469 sources
Other

Japan

93
Risk Score
high33% escalation
1 active signal19,399 sources
Other

Elevated Risk

3 countries with notable incidents

Morocco

44
1 signals34% esc

Uruguay

42
1 signals31% esc

Myanmar

41
1 signals28% esc

Moderate Risk

3 countries with minor activity
Qatar1Argentina1Thailand1

How We Calculate Country Risk

WorldNOC's Country Risk Index provides real-time risk assessments for countries worldwide based on active threat signals from our global monitoring network. Each country's risk score is calculated using:

  • Signal Severity - The highest severity level among active incidents (critical, high, medium, low)
  • Escalation Probability - AI-predicted likelihood of situation escalation in the next 72 hours
  • Escalation State - Current trajectory: Flashpoint, Escalating, Unstable, or Cooling
  • Signal Volume - Number of distinct incidents being tracked

Risk levels are categorized as Critical (score 100+), High (70-99), Elevated (40-69), and Moderate (below 40). Click any country for detailed analysis including specific incidents, affected sectors, and recommended actions.

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