Country Risk Index

Live global risk rankings based on 40 active threat signals

Tuesday, April 7, 2026 - Updated continuously

5
Critical Risk
15
High Risk
5
Elevated Risk
5
Moderate Risk

Critical Risk

5 countries requiring immediate attention

United States

114
Risk Score
critical4% escalation
6 active signals444,132 sources
Cyber AttackCivil UnrestSevere Weather+3

United Kingdom

108
Risk Score
critical4% escalation
3 active signals115,875 sources
OtherConflictChemical Spill

Switzerland

104
Risk Score
critical4% escalation
1 active signal187,282 sources
Other

Turkey

104
Risk Score
critical4% escalation
1 active signal145,595 sources
Other

Somalia

104
Risk Score
critical4% escalation
1 active signal90,595 sources
Other

High Risk

15 countries with significant activity

India

85
Risk Score
high4% escalation
4 active signals223,100 sources
OtherConflictPort Congestion+1

Brazil

79
Risk Score
high4% escalation
1 active signal56,690 sources
Other

Georgia

79
Risk Score
high4% escalation
1 active signal77,156 sources
Other

Taiwan

79
Risk Score
high4% escalation
1 active signal53,695 sources
Other

Spain

79
Risk Score
high4% escalation
1 active signal45,292 sources
Other

Russia

79
Risk Score
high4% escalation
1 active signal70,377 sources
Other

Vietnam

79
Risk Score
high4% escalation
1 active signal28,799 sources
Other

Australia

79
Risk Score
high4% escalation
1 active signal17,514 sources
Other

Greece

79
Risk Score
high4% escalation
1 active signal36,587 sources
Other

Mexico

79
Risk Score
high4% escalation
1 active signal43,669 sources
Other

Egypt

79
Risk Score
high4% escalation
1 active signal22,228 sources
Other

Italy

79
Risk Score
high4% escalation
1 active signal39,714 sources
Other

Nigeria

79
Risk Score
high4% escalation
1 active signal13,007 sources
Other

Romania

79
Risk Score
high4% escalation
1 active signal12,773 sources
Other

Japan

79
Risk Score
high4% escalation
1 active signal15,628 sources
Other

Elevated Risk

5 countries with notable incidents

Azerbaijan

66
1 signals28% esc

France

53
1 signals1% esc

Lebanon

41
1 signals28% esc

Oman

41
1 signals28% esc

Thailand

40
1 signals27% esc

Moderate Risk

5 countries with minor activity
Singapore1Sudan1Bangladesh1Ethiopia1Belgium1

How We Calculate Country Risk

WorldNOC's Country Risk Index provides real-time risk assessments for countries worldwide based on active threat signals from our global monitoring network. Each country's risk score is calculated using:

  • Signal Severity - The highest severity level among active incidents (critical, high, medium, low)
  • Escalation Probability - AI-predicted likelihood of situation escalation in the next 72 hours
  • Escalation State - Current trajectory: Flashpoint, Escalating, Unstable, or Cooling
  • Signal Volume - Number of distinct incidents being tracked

Risk levels are categorized as Critical (score 100+), High (70-99), Elevated (40-69), and Moderate (below 40). Click any country for detailed analysis including specific incidents, affected sectors, and recommended actions.

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